http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/international-business/european-business/a-golden-idea-to-save-or-doom-the-euro/article4243556/
Gold is back in the news, big time, and not just because the price
may be on the verge of another upswing or that Peter Munk is turning
Barrick, the world’s biggest gold company, into a CEO meat grinder. It’s
because Germany, it appears, wants to make gold the effective currency
of the euro zone before the region plunges to the bottom of the seas
like a concrete U-boat.
The weakest euro zone countries are tapped out financially and
economically. But a few of them are brimming with gold reserves. Take
Italy, the euro zone’s third-largest economy. The Italians love gold and
it’s stashed everywhere, in their central bank and in their jewellery
and safe deposit boxes. (I once saw a religious-festival parade of
children in a mountain town, with each child groaning under the weight
of heavy gold necklaces and other baubles). At last count, the central
bank had 2,451 tonnes of gold, valued at close to €100-billion
($128-billion). That’s not a fortune compared to Italy’s €1.9-trillion
national debt, but it’s not bad when Rome is raiding the pantry to pay
its ever-rising debt.
Germany’s idea is coyly named the European Redemption Pact and it is
nothing if not creative. While details are scant, here is roughly how
this gilded baby would work. Countries with debts greater than 60 per
cent of gross domestic product – the (ignored) limit under the European
Union’s Maastricht Treaty – would transfer those debts into a redemption
fund, which would be covered by joint bonds. The scheme has been called
“euro bonds lite.”
Quite frankly, I don’t think the ERP is
really a viable plan, but it’s worth noting that gold is increasingly a
part of the ongoing conversation…
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