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Friday, November 02, 2012

Physical Gold's "Fair Value" Might Be Closer To $12,000

The Gold Money Index and gold's fair value | Gold Price News

Any reasonable saver who has seen the virtue of accumulating gold should be asking himself the crucial and necessary question of when to part with their gold, or at least when to reduce his allocation to precious metals. As with any other asset, the answer is simple: when it becomes overvalued.
Valuing gold however is no easy task. Most portfolio managers and investors don’t even try, or attempt to mistakenly apply to gold the same models used for commodities, ignoring gold’s 65-1 stock-flow ratio which sets it apart from most commodities, at least as far as the impact of annual production on supply is concerned. Gold has no yield, no credit rating and no P/E ratio. The correct way to value gold, as we’ve argued before, is to compare it to other currencies.
That is precisely what James Turk’s Gold Money Index does. It pinpoints the exact historical points at which gold has been in a bubble and definitely overvalued, thus proving the perfect tool to answer that pressing question: when do I sell my gold?

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