http://www.marketwatch.com/story/corporate-defaults-expected-to-rise-30-in-2016-says-moodys-2016-03-01
“Commodity prices that will remain at low levels, an economic cycle that
is getting long in the tooth and increased investor risk aversion as
reflected in widening high-yield spreads are key players this time
around,” analysts led by Sharon Ou, a Moody’s senior credit officer,
said in a note. “Further interest-rate hikes this year by the Fed may
exacerbate the default situation. Our default-rate forecasting model
confirms that commodity sectors will remain in significant distress in
2016.”
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