https://www.janus.com/bill-gross-investment-outlook
But back to the 1/3 math thing. It’s there that I find the average lay
and even many professional investors still thinking and managing assets
at the grade school level. The childlike “teeter totter” principle, for
instance which couldn’t be simpler in its visualization of bond prices
going up when interest rates go down, produces foggy-eyed reactions from
a majority of non-professionals, and from a few supposed experts as
well. And too, the concept of longer maturities inducing more risk for
bond holders seems to stump many. Heaven forbid the introduction of the
more refined concepts of duration and forward yield curves as well as
the extension into stocks with the addition of an equity “risk premium”
and how it might be calculated. “Forget about the math,” many investors
really seem to say – “let’s stick to the old Will Rogers adage, ‘If a
stock is going to go up – buy it. If it ain’t going up – don’t buy it’!”
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