- Prior +38K (revised to +11K)
- Two-month net revision -6K
- Unemployment rate 4.9% vs 4.8% expected
- Prior unemployment was 4.7%
- Participation rate 62.7% vs 62.6% prior
- Change in private payrolls 265K
- Average hourly earnings 0.1% m/m vs +0.2% m/m exp
- Average hourly earnings 2.6% y/y vs +2.7% y/y exp
- Average weekly hours 34.4 vs 34.4 exp
- Underemployment rate 9.6% vs 9.7% exp
The rise in the unemployment rate simply brings it back to where it was in April.
I think there's a case to buy USD/JPY here. The market has gone too far in not pricing in a hike until Feb 2019. The Fed will dabble with a strong hiking bias again and, even if they ultimately don't hike, they will convince the market a rise in rates is coming sooner.
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