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Thursday, September 07, 2017

Fed's Mester: Further gradual rate rises will be needed

She adds:
  • Further gradual rate hikes needed
  • Favors a beginning to trim Fed's balance sheet in near term
  • Expects 2% GDP for the next year
  • Expects inflation to return to 2% target over the next year or so
  • Inflation to stay below 2% for "somewhat longer"
  • Won't see strong wage growth unless productivity better
  • Weak inflation is problematic if it erodes expectations
  • Some recent inflation weakness reflects special factors
  • Expect unemployment rate to stay below 4.75%
  • Attributes slow wage growth more to slow productivity growth than slack in labor market
  • Strengthening business investment,activity is an encouraging sign
  • Hurricane in Gulf will likely dampen growth in current quarter but add growth in subsequent quarters.

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