Conservative pundits like Ann Coulter and Ben Shapiro are up in arms
about Trump making a deal with the Democrats to extend the debt ceiling
by three months and to provide aid for areas affected by Harvey. They
cannot fathom why Trump is giving away all of his leverage and cannot
see a reason as to why he is doing this. Make no mistake the
conservatives have a right to be upset and it is a very dangerous time
for the Republican party. But they are wrong to think there is no reason
Trump is doing this.
I will try to explain as best I can why this happened and what it means for the nationalists on the Team Trump.
Before we begin the first thing you have to do to understand what
happened is to forget about the Harvey relief bill. That was always
going to happen no matter what. Neither party can afford to be seen
holding that up. Focus exclusively on the debt ceiling.
Democrats
I will start with them because they are only marginally involved in
this. Our biased media is playing this up as a huge win for Democrats.
It is not. What have they actually gotten? Have any major policies they
want been included in the debt ceiling increase? Has their position
improved at all? All that happened is that they will have another
negotiation three months down the line. The only benefit that they got
from this negotiation is that Trump agreed with them and not the
Republican leadership. This was done deliberately by Trump.
Trump
To understand why Trump did this we have to understand the position
he is in. Congressional Republicans have proven to be very ineffective
at pushing his agenda while Democrats refuse to work with him. In a
situation where one side has been useless you try to motivate them by
working with other parties. In this meeting Trump provided the Democrats
with a taste of the benefits of working with him.
In addition to siding with them in the meeting Trump also tweeted
something at the request of Pelosi and brought the Heitkamp to his rally
in North Dakota.
Trump can see that the GOP is not pushing his agenda properly. He
wants to show them that he has an alternative party to work with.
GOP
The GOP is the big loser in this meeting. The debt ceiling is only a
minor thing. With his recent actions Trump has shown them that he can
really hurt the GOP where it counts. If you were to believe our media
the GOP is about to be routed from all halls of power because of the
unpopularity of Trump. The reality is that after the 2018 elections it
is very possible that the Republicans will have a 60 seat super majority
in the senate. By taking Heitkamp to North Dakota with him, which is
one of the prime seats the GOP want to take, Trump is showing that he
can throw a monkey wrench in their plans. The Washington Post ran an
article saying that this guaranteed the reelection of Heitkamp which is
laughably naive. We are one year from the elections. Trump can easily
turn on her if the situation requires it.
The Republican political establishment thought that they could force
Trump to bend to their will because he had no other options. If they did
not they thought there would be no consequences except for a lame duck
Presidency. Trump is showing that that is not necessarily the case and
he has other options.
3 Months
Has anyone considered why this particular move was done in this deal?
Raising the debt ceiling for 3 months is really insignificant. Both
sides will be back at it again come December so why? These 3 months are
what the Republican establishment has to show that they can be of some
value to Trump so that he will work with them. If not then Trump will
move to align himself further with the Democrats.
Nationalists
What does this mean for us? Obviously the best result that can come
from this is that the Republican establishment realizes it needs Trump
and unifies to pass the things he needs in his agenda. In this case we
get most of what Trump campaigned for.
We have to be prepared for the other scenario though. What if Trump
is forced to align himself more fully with the Democrats to get things
passed?
First of any immigration reform goes out the window. Democrats will
never agree to it and there would be no scenario where we get anything
meaningful done in that regard.
The other things could still be done though. Withdrawing from onerous
international agreements is something both Sanders and Trump agree on
and could still pass. Raising the standardized deduction for income
taxes could also be done as it would mean that more low to mid income
people would be exempt from tax. Legislation to return jobs to America
would be done as well. Both parties want it they just don’t want the
other party to get credit for it.
I could provide more specifics but to cut everything short think of
everything that Bernie Sanders and Trump agree on. That would be our
best case scenario for a Trump presidency that is allied with Democrats.
Pivotal Moment
We are at a pivotal moment in the Trump presidency. Conservative
pundits are condemning Trump for caring more about TV ratings than his
agenda. To those people I would like to ask what has Trump actually
gotten for working with Republicans in congress? With the exception of
the Supreme Court nomination every other achievement of the Trump
administration has been done using the powers of the executive branch.
The next three months and whatever Ryan and Mcconell get done in them
will determine whether Trump governs like a Republican or Democrat.
At this point I would like to remind nationalists that while we are
more closely aligned with Republicans the party itself does not matter
to us. What matters is getting things we approve of passed.
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