Why is this not front page news in the west?
So it must be looking good, as super-loose monetary policy seems to
have peaked and central banks are “talking the talk” and “walking the
walk” for normalisation and tighter policy ahead. The US Federal Reserve
has been doing this for nearly two years now, the European Central Bank
has just started its taper and the Bank of England poised on “amber
alert” for higher rates. Even the Bank of Japan is in wait-and-see mode.
The trouble is the central banks are between a rock and a hard place
and being driven into action for the sake of being seen to be in
control. Yet whatever they do has the same result – global borrowing
costs are going up. If they do nothing, inflation expectations will rise
and yields will push higher. If they tighten policy, then yields will
still push higher. They are in a no-win situation.
Central banks know a lot more than they are letting on. It is the
reason why the ECB went easy on its policy taper last week. Although it
has scaled back its bond-buying programme, much to Germany’s chagrin it
has still prolonged its special measures until the end of next year. It is plainly aware of the nuclear junk buried deep in the vaults of Europe’s financial system and needs to tread carefully.
http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/2117548/central-banks-have-issued-their-amber-alert?utm_source=Direct
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