Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in December indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a solid rate. Gains
in employment, household spending, and business fixed investment have
been solid, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. On a 12-month
basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food
and energy have continued to run below 2 percent. Market-based
measures of inflation compensation have increased in recent months but
remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations
are little changed, on balance.
Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The
Committee expects that, with further gradual adjustments in the stance
of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and
labor market conditions will remain strong. Inflation on a 12‑month
basis is expected to move up this year and to stabilize around the
Committee's 2 percent objective over the medium term. Near-term
risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced, but the
Committee is monitoring inflation developments closely.
In view of
realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the
Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds
rate at 1-1/4 to 1‑1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains
accommodative, thereby supporting strong labor market conditions and a
sustained return to 2 percent inflation.
In determining the timing
and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal
funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic
conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2
percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range
of information, including measures of labor market conditions,
indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and
readings on financial and international developments. The Committee will
carefully monitor actual and expected inflation developments relative
to its symmetric inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic
conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant further gradual
increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to
remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the
longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will
depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.
Voting
for the FOMC monetary policy action were Janet L. Yellen, Chair;
William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Thomas I. Barkin; Raphael W. Bostic;
Lael Brainard; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Randal K. Quarles;
and John C. Williams.
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