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Wednesday, June 05, 2019

Factory orders, Fed comments, Lumber prices

http://moslereconomics.com/2019/06/04/factory-orders-fed-comments-lumber-prices/

US Factory Orders Fall the Most in 6 Months

New orders for US manufactured goods fell 0.8% in April, the most since October last year, due to lower demand for transportation equipment, computers and electronic orders, and primary metals. Meanwhile, shipments of manufactured goods declined 0.5% in April, the largest drop since April 2017.


Highlights
At an as-expected minus 0.8 percent, April’s factory orders report closes the book on what was a weak month for US manufacturing. The split between the report’s two main components shows a 0.5 percent rise for nondurable goods — the new data in today’s report where strength is tied to petroleum and coal — and a 2.1 percent dip for durable orders which is unrevised from last week’s advance reading.
Core capital goods (nondefense ex-aircraft) are very weak in the report, down 1.0 percent for orders and unchanged for shipments. Both readings hint at slowing for second-quarter business investment. General weakness is evident in the market breakdown with orders for primary metals, fabrications, machinery, and new vehicles all weak.
Data on civilian aircraft are always volatile month-to-month but April’s declines in new orders and unfilled orders were limited, suggesting that possible effects from the 737 grounding have yet to hit. Aside from this, however, the April factory report is consistent with a sector that continues to struggle and, unlike last year, does not look to contribute to 2019 growth.

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