One chart that might turn those three bears to gold bulls was featured in a recent Investor Alert. I noted that gold's
12-month rolling return in standard deviation terms triggered an
extremely low sigma event, dipping below a reading of -2. To our
investment team, this signal means that investors should expect gold to experience a significant price reversal....
Gold still hasn't made it back to its all-time high, but Stifel Nicolaus' gold-to-crude oil ratio suggests gold climbing to $1,900. According to Stifel's research, the gold-to-oil ratio based on the price of Brent has historically "shown a tendency to run to around 16.5x." In other words, the price of the yellow metal is usually about 16.5 times the price of a barrel of Brent oil. With Brent trading around $116 per barrel last week, the math tells us that gold could go to $1,900.
...
As for gold demand in India, his team hears that people are buying gold with cash to avoid the higher duties. "As a result, these cash purchases will not be recorded in the official data," says [Christopher] Wood.
Commentators' Corner with Frank E. Holmes
Gold still hasn't made it back to its all-time high, but Stifel Nicolaus' gold-to-crude oil ratio suggests gold climbing to $1,900. According to Stifel's research, the gold-to-oil ratio based on the price of Brent has historically "shown a tendency to run to around 16.5x." In other words, the price of the yellow metal is usually about 16.5 times the price of a barrel of Brent oil. With Brent trading around $116 per barrel last week, the math tells us that gold could go to $1,900.
...
As for gold demand in India, his team hears that people are buying gold with cash to avoid the higher duties. "As a result, these cash purchases will not be recorded in the official data," says [Christopher] Wood.
Commentators' Corner with Frank E. Holmes
No comments:
Post a Comment