New recession alert out:
U.S. Economy Prints 32-month Low: Recession Risks Escalate
It's been 4 months since the 3rd "Summer Swoon" in this expansion – when
many commentators were trotting out recession scares and imminent
collapses in the stock market. Since then the SP-500 has risen over 9%,
peaking at 12% gains some weeks back. There is now an interesting
divergence developing between the leading data (stock market, money
supply, credit spreads etc.) that is implying positive expansion ahead
and the co-incident data that is implying a drift toward possible
recession.
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