A leaked report from the European
Commission confirms that Greece will miss its austerity targets yet
again by a wide margin. It alleges that Greece lacks the “willingness
and capacity” to collect taxes. In fact, Athens is missing targets
because the economy is still in freefall and that is because of
austerity overkill. The Greek think-tank IOBE expects GDP to fall 5pc
this year. It has told journalists privately that the final figure may
be -7pc. The Greek stabilisation is a mirage.
Italy’s slow crisis is again flaring
up. Its debt trajectory has punched through the danger line over the
past two years. The country’s €2.1 trillion (£1.8 trillion) debt – 129pc
of GDP – may already be beyond the point of no return for a country
without its own currency.[...]
Spain’s crisis has a new twist. The
ruling Partido Popular is caught in a slush-fund scandal of such gravity
that it cannot plausibly brazen out the allegations any longer, let
alone rally the nation behind another year of scorched-earth cuts. El Mundo says a “pre-revolutionary” mood is taking hold.
A magistrate has obtained the
original “smoking gun” alleging that Premier Mariano Rajoy accepted
illegal payments as a minister. The Left is calling for his head but so
are members of the Consejo General del Poder Judicial, the justice
watchdog.
“Citizens cannot tolerate a
situation where the prime minister has received undeclared payments,”
said José Manuel Gómez, a Consejo member. Much of the ruling party
appears tainted by a network of covert funding. If proved, said Mr
Gomez, it poses a “very grave” threat to Spanish democracy.
Portugal is slipping away. Professor João Ferreira do Amaral’s book -Why We Should Leave The Euro – has been a bestseller for months. He accuses Brussels of serving as an enforcer for Germany and the creditor powers.
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