Via: Telegraph:
Much of the Western world will require defaults, a savings tax
and higher inflation to clear the way for recovery as debt levels reach a
200-year high, according to a new report by the International Monetary
Fund.
The IMF working paper said debt burdens in developed nations have
become extreme by any historical measure and will require a wave of
haircuts, either negotiated 1930s-style write-offs or the standard mix
of measures used by the IMF in its “toolkit” for emerging market
blow-ups.
“The size of the problem suggests that restructurings will be needed,
for example, in the periphery of Europe, far beyond anything discussed
in public to this point,” said the paper, by Harvard professors Carmen
Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff.
The paper said policy elites in the West are still clinging
to the illusion that rich countries are different from poorer regions
and can therefore chip away at their debts with a blend of austerity
cuts, growth, and tinkering (“forbearance”).
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