Fed will be able to hike rates gradually, IMF says - Capitol Report - MarketWatch
The Federal Reserve
will be able to hike rates gradually given slack in the labor market
and continued low inflation, according to a report from the staff of the
International Monetary Fund released Wednesday.
The IMF staff and the Fed agree that the first rate hike, or
lift-off, will likely come in midsummer of 2015. But after that their
rate paths diverge, with the IMF staff’s expected rate path well below
the median of the estimates of top Fed officials in the latest
“dot-plot” released in June.
The IMF staff assumes a rate hike at every other meeting once the
central bank starts to tighten, said Nigel Chalk, deputy director of the
IMF’s Western Hemisphere Department.
The recent rise in inflation is transitory, Chalk said in a briefing for reporters.
But even if the inflation rate were to top 2%, the Fed could also
tolerate it, if it was not accompanied by wage pressure, the IMF staff
said.
In their comments to the IMF, Fed officials said they would not
intentionally try to overshoot the 2% inflation target, according to the
report.
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