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Friday, April 01, 2016

Feds Meister Continues to expect gradual rate hikes this year

  • Did not dissent at March FOMC is Q1 data limited.
  • Fed is not behind tightening curve though there are risks in waiting
  • Slightly downgraded rate hike path since December.
  • Now expects bit slower US growth of 2.25 – 2.5% in 2016
  • Slightly lower long term neutral rates.
  • Economy has shown considerable resilience.
  • Expects continued inflation rebound and wage gains
  • Can expect dollar to remain strong due to US growth
  • Was reasonable case at March FOMC to wait for more data
  • Forestalling hikes for too long risks volatility later
  • Sees inflation rising gradually to Feds 2% goal

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