Bill Gross was on Bloomberg TV after the jobs report and said the Fed
is still likely to hike twice this year. He said the first rate rise is
likely to come in June.
After the jobs report, the Fed funds
futures market is still only pricing a 28% chance of a June hike and
only a 61.7% chance of a hike this year. That's up from 20% and 54.4%
from yesterday but if Gross is right, that's a lot of room for the
dollar to run (and bonds to fall).
At the moment, the risk of a Fed hike is hitting commodities and commodity currencies.
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