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Thursday, April 28, 2016

US Q1 advance GDP +0.5% q/q annualized vs +0.7% expected

  • Prior +1.4% (unrevised)
  • Personal consumption +1.9% vs +1.7% exp
  • Prior consumption +2.4%
  • GDP price index +0.7% vs +0.5% exp
  • Core PCE q/q +2.1% vs +1.9%
At first look, it appears as though higher inflation ate into real growth. It's a good sign that nominal growth held up but no one is celebrating a 0.5% growth pace.
More details:
  • Consumer durable goods spending -1.6%
  • GDP deflator +0.7% vs +0.6% exp
  • Home investment +14.8% (Q4 was +10.1%)
  • Business investment -5.9%
  • Business investment in equipment -8.6%
  • Business investment in structures -10.7% (Q4 was -5.1%)
  • Exports -2.6% vs -2.0% prior
  • Imports +0.2% vs -0.7% prior
  • GDP ex motor vehicles +0.5%
  • Inventories cut 0.33 percentage points from GDP

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