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Tuesday, May 30, 2017

Feds Brainard: "Further policy tightening likely appropriate soon", but...

  • Data consistent with rebound this quarter
  • Time for balance sheet policy change coming in clearer view
  • Global outlook brighter, risk balance more favorable
  • Further policy tightening likely appropriate soon
  • US GDP growth expected to rebound in second-quarter
  • Can't say yet how big Fed balance sheet should be in future
  • Lack of progress in core inflation source of concern
  • Debt limit uncertainty may influence risk outlook
  • May want to delay rate hikes if inflation continues to slow
  • High corporate debt level warrants vigilance
  • soft inflation may prompt rate rethink if it persists
  • Lax auto loan underwriting also a concern

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