He adds:
- GDP running slightly above trend
- Labor markets feeling really tight
- Best estimate shows GDP down 100bp this quarter
- GDP will bounce back from the hurricanes in 4Q
- We are starting to see some wage pressures
- Low growth in wages may be due to shift in who is employed,
- We are running below our 2% inflation target
- Inflation is the one area that gives me pause
- For the average American low inflation is not a problem but there are risks for monetary policy.
- Our work showing we're overstating inflation is persuasive
- Pausing on the Fed Funds rate path is appropriate
- Today's PCE print was weak

No comments:
Post a Comment