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Friday, October 25, 2019

More Bad News For Canada’s Crumbling Oil Industry

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/More-Bad-News-For-Canadas-Crumbling-Oil-Industry.html

Canada’s oil industry has had to deal with superlow prices resulting from the lack of pipeline capacity, and with production cuts that have shrunk bottom lines. Now the production cuts are being relaxed, but with the new parliament set up, chances are Albertan producers may never see the completion of the Trans Mountain pipeline or the replacement of Line 3, not to mention Keystone XL, which is facing strong opposition on both sides of the border.
Western Canadian Select is trading below $40 a barrel, at a more than $15 discount to West Texas Intermediate. This is nowhere near the $50 discount WCS suffered last year, before Alberta ordered the production cuts. It’s a comfortable discount that keeps Canadian crude attractive for U.S. refiners. Unfortunately, demand for it may decline next year as the IMO enforces its new sulfur emissions rules. And because of lack of pipelines to other export markets, Canadian crude will be pressured further and the East-West divide will expand.

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