http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article35414.html
We are not going to do a "post mortem" here regarding what happened
last week, other than to say that silver was on the point of breaking
to new lows on Thursday, and would have done had little or nothing
been achieved at the European summit, as was the case at the previous
18 summits.
There are 2 big differences between gold and silver which both
suggest that silver has truly explosive upside potential from here.
One is that silver has suffered a far more serious decline than gold
over the past 2 years, with sentiment towards it becoming
extraordinarily negative in the recent past, and the other that
silver's COT structure is now at record bullish levels, and far more
bullish than that for gold. This is a situation where all it needed was
some pivotal fundamental development - and last week we had it - to
turn the tide in the other direction.
On its 6-month chart we can see that silver went into further decline
during the early part of last week, taking it even lower, before
reversing to the upside on Friday on the news out of Europe, and even
though the rise on Friday was comparatively modest, it still left
behind a clear "Bullish Engulfing Pattern" on the chart which is
indicative of a reversal, particularly following a lengthy decline. It
would appear that the markets have gotten so negative on silver, that
even after what happened in Europe on Thursday night, they are "not
convinced" - but they will be after further strong gains on short
covering in the near future.
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