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Thursday, July 27, 2017

Chicago Fed (June) national activity index 0.13 vs 0.35 est

The Chicago Fed national index rose to 0.13 from last months -0.30, but was below the estimate of 0.35.

  • The index draws from 85 economic indicators
  • Advance in production-related indicators 
  • All four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased from May
  • The index's three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, increased to +0.06 in June from -0.04 in May
  • The CFNAI Diffusion Index, which is also a three-month moving average, increased to +0.01 in June from -0.08 in May
  • Forty of the 85 individual indicators made positive contributions to the CFNAI in June, while 45 made negative contributions
  • Fifty-six indicators improved from May to June, while 28 indicators deteriorated and one was unchanged
  • The contribution from production-related indicators to the CFNAI increased to +0.09 in June from -0.16 in May
  • Employment-related indicators contributed +0.06 to the CFNAI in June, up from -0.05 in May
  • The contribution of the personal consumption and housing category to the CFNAI edged up to -0.04 in June from -0.09 in May

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